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Politico's David Paul Kuhn deconstructs recent polling and talks to Republican observers about Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's chances in 2012.
Fully two thirds of Republicans, including Republican-leaning independents, want Palin to run for president in 2012, twice as many as back Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who has already made one post-election visit to Iowa, and about 20 points ahead of former Speaker Newt Gingrich.
But even as Palin exploded over a few weeks from relative obscurity to a bigger star within the party than its own presidential nominee, Democrats and independents quickly soured on her, she became one of the most divisive figures in politics.
In mid November, Gallup found that only 45 percent of Americans hoped Palin is "a major national political figure for many years to come." About three-quarters of Republicans hoped so, three-quarters of Democrats hoped not, as did 53 percent of independents.
Exit polls also showed that 64 percent of independents viewed Palin as unqualified to be president, with nine of ten Democrats and one in four Republicans agreeing.
"Palin's image, being the way it is for independents, puts her at a distinct disadvantage from a general election standpoint," said Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist. "But it wouldn't be the first time the hard-core base ran off the cliff."
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Posted by Lookitsme at 11/30/08 7:31 p.m.
Palin appeals to the Talibangelical wing of the GOP.
As a committed progressive, I hope that the GOP trots her out again, although I'd really prefer that more level headed Republicans steer the party back from the lunatic fringe it's occupied now for so many years...