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Clinton's Bad Day

It appears that the curtain is going down on the Clinton campaign. With no realistic shot at winning a majority of delegates from the primaries and caucuses and no realistic shot at winning the popular vote, Clinton's hopes are pinned on winning over the superdelegates. This strategy likely involves taking the battle to the convention where political infighting could be used to best result.

This strategy is being actively opposed by the party chiefs, who have dealt Clinton strong blows recently. First, Nancy Pelosi urged supredelegates to vote for the candidate with the most delegates from primaries and caucuses. Then Howard Dean, the party chairman, said that he hoped that the decision would be made by July 1 at the latest, more than a month before the convention.

Today with the forthcoming primary in Pennsylvania in the spotlight Bob Casey, one of the two senators from that state, endorsed Obama, while Senator Pat Leahy urged her to withdraw. Also today the Gallup Poll announced that nationally Obama enjoys and 8% lead over Clinton.

Clinton fought back against the Pelosi edict by having several billionaire supporters write a letter to Pelosi which seemed to suggest that if she did not withdraw her proposal they might withdraw party support. This was not a smart thing to do for two reasons. First, it called attention to the divisive, polarizing aspect of this nomination process, exactly the thing the party wants to avoid. Second, it took away from whatever ground Clinton had gained in coming across as a populist leader. The letter made Clinton look like an insider attempting to subvert a democratic process with money. This is exactly what she has been trying to avoid with talk about change and appeals to everyday Americans.

This splintering of her message was probably inevitable as she seeks to appeal to the grass roots voters while trying to win the nomination through the superdelegates. This is certainly not an enviable position to say the least.

Posted by at March 28, 2008 2:35 p.m.
Comments
#112494

Posted by zelduh at 3/28/08 4:15 p.m.

Sadly, it does not look as if Hillary (or her campaign) cares. It's really a scorched earth/Tonya Harding plan she's following ("It's either me or McCain").

I can see no justification for her actions - unless she is simply campaigning for Hillary 2012. And, in order for her to be able to run in 2012, McCain needs to win the 2008 general election.

#112519

Posted by Rand Koler at 3/28/08 5:25 p.m.

If that is her strategy then she may have slipped her cables. Right now the person she is most likely to unseat is Ralph Nader as the Democratic Party's spoiler. She really is burning bridges and turning party insiders against her, losing what began as a strength. It seems to me that if Obama loses to McCain her chances of getting the nomination in 2012 will be hindered by what is increasingly being seen as her willingness to sacrifice the party to self interest. Wouldn't her chances in another year be enhanced by playing along with the party?

On the other hand there is a very positive aspect of this. I questioned Obama's ability to weather aggressive attacks, an area in which Clinton had proven her mettle. I believe that these attacks will seem like child's play in the fall but at least the aggressive phase of this process has shown me that Obama is up to that challenge. This gives me hope that the campaign for election will not be disrailed by cheap shots, creating a better opportunity for actual policy discussion.

#112524

Posted by Green Party at 3/28/08 5:39 p.m.

Rand, you are not exactly a neutral party qualified to comment on this.

#112549

Posted by Rand Koler at 3/28/08 6:42 p.m.

Man, this is a democracy! Aren't we all supposed to comment? I thought that was fundamental to the thing. You are right, though, I am not neutral, but I try to be objective. I doubt that anyone is neutral, well maybe some of the folks who register "no opinion" on surveys. Anyway, please let be know if you detect bias, stupidity or misinformation. Those things I want help with.

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